Clinical associations with a polygenic predisposition to benign lower white blood cell counts.

Polygenic variation unrelated to disease contributes to interindividual variation in baseline white blood cell (WBC) counts, but its clinical significance is uncharacterized. We investigated the clinical consequences of a genetic predisposition toward lower WBC counts among 89,559 biobank participants from tertiary care centers using a polygenic score for WBC count (PGSWBC) comprising single nucleotide polymorphisms not associated with disease. A predisposition to lower WBC counts was associated with a decreased risk of identifying pathology on a bone marrow biopsy performed for a low WBC count (odds-ratio = 0.55 per standard deviation increase in PGSWBC [95%CI, 0.30-0.94], p = 0.04), an increased risk of leukopenia (a low WBC count) when treated with a chemotherapeutic (n = 1724, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.78 [0.69-0.88], p = 4.0 × 10-5) or immunosuppressant (n = 354, HR = 0.61 [0.38-0.99], p = 0.04). A predisposition to benign lower WBC counts was associated with an increased risk of discontinuing azathioprine treatment (n = 1,466, HR = 0.62 [0.44-0.87], p = 0.006). Collectively, these findings suggest that there are genetically predisposed individuals who are susceptible to escalations or alterations in clinical care that may be harmful or of little benefit.

Selection, optimization and validation of ten chronic disease polygenic risk scores for clinical implementation in diverse US populations.

Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have improved in predictive performance, but several challenges remain to be addressed before PRSs can be implemented in the clinic, including reduced predictive performance of PRSs in diverse populations, and the interpretation and communication of genetic results to both providers and patients. To address these challenges, the National Human Genome Research Institute-funded Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) Network has developed a framework and pipeline for return of a PRS-based genome-informed risk assessment to 25,000 diverse adults and children as part of a clinical study. From an initial list of 23 conditions, ten were selected for implementation based on PRS performance, medical actionability and potential clinical utility, including cardiometabolic diseases and cancer. Standardized metrics were considered in the selection process, with additional consideration given to strength of evidence in African and Hispanic populations. We then developed a pipeline for clinical PRS implementation (score transfer to a clinical laboratory, validation and verification of score performance), and used genetic ancestry to calibrate PRS mean and variance, utilizing genetically diverse data from 13,475 participants of the All of Us Research Program cohort to train and test model parameters. Finally, we created a framework for regulatory compliance and developed a PRS clinical report for return to providers and for inclusion in an additional genome-informed risk assessment. The initial experience from eMERGE can inform the approach needed to implement PRS-based testing in diverse clinical settings.

Genome-wide association study of prostate-specific antigen levels in 392,522 men identifies new loci and improves cross-ancestry prediction.

We conducted a multi-ancestry genome-wide association study of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels in 296,754 men (211,342 European ancestry; 58,236 African ancestry; 23,546 Hispanic/Latino; 3,630 Asian ancestry; 96.5% of participants were from the Million Veteran Program). We identified 318 independent genome-wide significant (p≤5e-8) variants, 184 of which were novel. Most demonstrated evidence of replication in an independent cohort (n=95,768). Meta-analyzing discovery and replication (n=392,522) identified 447 variants, of which a further 111 were novel. Out-of-sample variance in PSA explained by our new polygenic risk score reached 16.9% (95% CI=16.1%-17.8%) in European ancestry, 9.5% (95% CI=7.0%-12.2%) in African ancestry, 18.6% (95% CI=15.8%-21.4%) in Hispanic/Latino, and 15.3% (95% CI=12.7%-18.1%) in Asian ancestry, and lower for higher age. Our study highlights how including proportionally more participants from underrepresented populations improves genetic prediction of PSA levels, with potential to personalize prostate cancer screening.

Clinical consequences of a genetic predisposition toward higher benign prostate-specific antigen levels.

BACKGROUND: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels are influenced by genetic variation unrelated to prostate cancer risk. Whether a genetic predisposition to a higher PSA level predisposes to a diagnostic work-up for prostate cancer is not known. METHODS: Participants were 3110 men of African and European ancestries ages 45-70, without prostate cancer and with a baseline PSA < 4 ng/mL, undergoing routine clinical PSA screening. The exposure was a polygenic score (PGS) comprising 111 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with PSA level, but not prostate cancer. We tested whether the PGS was associated with a: 1) PSA value > 4 ng/mL, 2) International Classification of Diseases (ICD) code for an elevated PSA, 3) encounter with a urologist, or 4) prostate biopsy. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were adjusted for age and genetic principal components. Analyses were stratified by age (45-59 years, and 60-70 years old). Association estimates are per standard deviation change in the PGS. FINDINGS: The median age was 56.6 years, and 2118 (68%) participants were 45-59 years. The median (IQR) baseline PSA level was 1.0 (0.6-1.7) ng/mL. Among men ages 45-59, the PGS was associated with a PSA > 4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.35 [95% CI, 1.17-1.57], p = 4.5 × 10-5), an ICD code for elevated PSA (HR = 1.30 [1.12-1.52], p = 8.0 × 10-4), a urological evaluation (HR = 1.34 [1.14-1.57], p = 4.8 × 10-4), and undergoing a prostate biopsy (HR = 1.35 [1.11-1.64], p = 0.002). Among men ages 60-70, association effect sizes were smaller and not significant. INTERPRETATION: A predisposition toward higher PSA levels was associated with clinical evaluations of an elevated PSA among men ages 45-59 years. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health (NIH).

Clinical consequences of a polygenic predisposition to benign lower white blood cell counts: Consequences of benign WBC count genetics.

Polygenic variation unrelated to disease contributes to interindividual variation in baseline white blood cell (WBC) counts, but its clinical significance is undefined. We investigated the clinical consequences of a genetic predisposition toward lower WBC counts among 89,559 biobank participants from tertiary care centers using a polygenic score for WBC count (PGSWBC) comprising single nucleotide polymorphisms not associated with disease. A predisposition to lower WBC counts was associated with a decreased risk of identifying pathology on a bone marrow biopsy performed for a low WBC count (odds-ratio=0.55 per standard deviation increase in PGSWBC [95%CI, 0.30 - 0.94], p=0.04), an increased risk of leukopenia (a low WBC count) when treated with a chemotherapeutic (n=1,724, hazard ratio [HR]=0.78 [0.69 - 0.88], p=4.0×10-5) or immunosuppressant (n=354, HR=0.61 [0.38 - 0.99], p=0.04). A predisposition to benign lower WBC counts was associated with an increased risk of discontinuing azathioprine treatment (n=1,466, HR=0.62 [0.44 - 0.87], p=0.006). Collectively, these findings suggest that a WBC count polygenic score identifies individuals who are susceptible to escalations or alterations in clinical care that may be harmful or of little benefit.

Genetically adjusted PSA levels for prostate cancer screening.

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening for prostate cancer remains controversial because it increases overdiagnosis and overtreatment of clinically insignificant tumors. Accounting for genetic determinants of constitutive, non-cancer-related PSA variation has potential to improve screening utility. In this study, we discovered 128 genome-wide significant associations (P < 5 × 10-8) in a multi-ancestry meta-analysis of 95,768 men and developed a PSA polygenic score (PGSPSA) that explains 9.61% of constitutive PSA variation. We found that, in men of European ancestry, using PGS-adjusted PSA would avoid up to 31% of negative prostate biopsies but also result in 12% fewer biopsies in patients with prostate cancer, mostly with Gleason score <7 tumors. Genetically adjusted PSA was more predictive of aggressive prostate cancer (odds ratio (OR) = 3.44, P = 6.2 × 10-14, area under the curve (AUC) = 0.755) than unadjusted PSA (OR = 3.31, P = 1.1 × 10-12, AUC = 0.738) in 106 cases and 23,667 controls. Compared to a prostate cancer PGS alone (AUC = 0.712), including genetically adjusted PSA improved detection of aggressive disease (AUC = 0.786, P = 7.2 × 10-4). Our findings highlight the potential utility of incorporating PGS for personalized biomarkers in prostate cancer screening.

Transcriptome-Wide Association Analysis Identifies Novel Candidate Susceptibility Genes for Prostate-Specific Antigen Levels in Men Without Prostate Cancer.

Deciphering the genetic basis of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels may improve their utility to screen for prostate cancer (PCa). We thus conducted a transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS) of PSA levels using genome-wide summary statistics from 95,768 PCa-free men, the MetaXcan framework, and gene prediction models trained in Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) project data. Tissue-specific analyses identified 41 statistically significant (p < 0.05/12,192 = 4.10e-6) associations in whole blood and 39 statistically significant (p < 0.05/13,844 = 3.61e-6) associations in prostate tissue, with 18 genes associated in both tissues. Cross-tissue analyses that combined associations across 45 tissues identified 155 genes that were statistically significantly (p < 0.05/22,249 = 2.25e-6) associated with PSA levels. Based on conditional analyses that assessed whether TWAS associations were attributable to a lead GWAS variant, we found 20 novel genes (11 single-tissue, 9 cross-tissue) that were associated with PSA levels in the TWAS. Of these novel genes, five showed evidence of colocalization (colocalization probability > 0.5): EXOSC9, CCNA2, HIST1H2BN, RP11-182L21.6, and RP11-327J17.2. Six of the 20 novel genes are not known to impact PCa risk. These findings yield new hypotheses for genetic factors underlying PSA levels that should be further explored toward improving our understanding of PSA biology.

A Polygenic Risk Score for Prostate Cancer Risk Prediction.

This retrospective cohort study compares 2 risk calculator systems that compute the probabilities of finding high-grade or any cancer on biopsy results in men undergoing a first prostate biopsy.

Limited clinical utility for GWAS or polygenic risk score for postoperative acute kidney injury in non-cardiac surgery in European-ancestry patients.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies support a genetic basis for postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). We conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS), assessed the clinical utility of a polygenic risk score (PRS), and estimated the heritable component of AKI in patients who underwent noncardiac surgery. METHODS: We performed a retrospective large-scale genome-wide association study followed by a meta-analysis of patients who underwent noncardiac surgery at the Vanderbilt University Medical Center ("Vanderbilt" cohort) or Michigan Medicine, the academic medical center of the University of Michigan ("Michigan" cohort). In the Vanderbilt cohort, the relationship between polygenic risk score for estimated glomerular filtration rate and postoperative AKI was also tested to explore the predictive power of aggregating multiple common genetic variants associated with AKI risk. Similarly, in the Vanderbilt cohort genome-wide complex trait analysis was used to estimate the heritable component of AKI due to common genetic variants. RESULTS: The study population included 8248 adults in the Vanderbilt cohort (mean [SD] 58.05 [15.23] years, 50.2% men) and 5998 adults in Michigan cohort (56.24 [14.76] years, 49% men). Incident postoperative AKI events occurred in 959 patients (11.6%) and in 277 patients (4.6%), respectively. No loci met genome-wide significance in the GWAS and meta-analysis. PRS for estimated glomerular filtration rate explained a very small percentage of variance in rates of postoperative AKI and was not significantly associated with AKI (odds ratio 1.050 per 1 SD increase in polygenic risk score [95% CI, 0.971-1.134]). The estimated heritability among common variants for AKI was 4.5% (SE = 4.5%) suggesting low heritability. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study indicate that common genetic variation minimally contributes to postoperative AKI after noncardiac surgery, and likely has little clinical utility for identifying high-risk patients.

Frequency of benign neutropenia among Black versus White individuals undergoing a bone marrow assessment.

Healthy individuals in the United States identified as having Black race have lower neutrophil counts, on average, than individuals identified as having White race, which could result in more negative diagnostic evaluations for neutropenia. To test this hypothesis, the proportion of evaluations where the final diagnosis was clinically insignificant neutropenia for Black and White individuals who underwent an evaluation by a haematologist that included a bone marrow (BM) biopsy to investigate neutropenia was assessed. 172 individuals without prior haematological diagnoses who underwent a haematological evaluation to investigate neutropenia. Individuals diagnosed with clinically insignificant neutropenia between Black and White individuals were compared using a propensity-score-adjusted logistic regression. Of 172 individuals, 42 (24%) were classified as Black race, 86 (50%) were males, and the 79 (46%) were over 18 years old. A BM biopsy did not identify pathology in 95% (40 of 42) of Black individuals and 68% (89 of 130) of White Individuals. Black individuals (25 of 42 [60%]) received a final diagnosis of clinically insignificant neutropenia, compared to White individuals (12 of 130 [9%]) (adjusted odds ratio =7.9, 95% CI: 3.1 - 21.1). We conclude that black individuals were more likely to receive a diagnosis of clinically insignificant neutropenia after haematological assessment.

Race, Genotype, and Azathioprine Discontinuation : A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Thiopurines are an important class of immunosuppressants despite their risk for hematopoietic toxicity and narrow therapeutic indices. Benign neutropenia related to an ACKR1 variant (rs2814778-CC) is common among persons of African ancestries. OBJECTIVE: To test whether rs2814778-CC was associated with azathioprine discontinuation attributed to hematopoietic toxicity and lower thiopurine dosing. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Two tertiary care centers. PATIENTS: Thiopurine users with White or Black race. MEASUREMENTS: Azathioprine discontinuation attributed to hematopoietic toxicity. Secondary outcomes included weight-adjusted final dose, leukocyte count, and change in leukocyte count. RESULTS: The rate of azathioprine discontinuation attributed to hematopoietic toxicity was 3.92 per 100 person-years among patients with the CC genotype (n = 101) and 1.34 per 100 person-years among those with the TT or TC genotype (n = 1365) (hazard ratio [HR] from competing-risk model, 2.92 [95% CI, 1.57 to 5.41]). The risk remained significant after adjustment for race (HR, 2.61 [CI, 1.01 to 6.71]). The risk associated with race alone (HR, 2.13 [CI, 1.21 to 3.75]) was abrogated by adjustment for genotype (HR, 1.13 [CI, 0.48 to 2.69]). Lower last leukocyte count and lower dosing were significant among patients with the CC genotype. Lower dosing was validated in an external cohort of 94 children of African ancestries prescribed the thiopurine 6-mercaptopurine (6-MP) for acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The CC genotype was independently associated with lower 6-MP dose intensity relative to the target daily dose of 75 mg/m2 (median, 0.83 [IQR, 0.70 to 0.94] for the CC genotype vs. 0.94 [IQR, 0.72 to 1.13] for the TT or TC genotype; P = 0.013). LIMITATIONS: Unmeasured confounding; data limited to tertiary centers. CONCLUSION: Patients with the CC genotype had higher risk for azathioprine discontinuation attributed to hematopoietic toxicity and lower thiopurine doses. Genotype was associated with those risks, even after adjustment for race. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Identifying Potential Therapeutic Applications and Diagnostic Harms of Increased Bilirubin Concentrations: A Clinical and Genetic Approach.

Bilirubin has antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties in vitro and in animal studies and protects against inflammatory, cardiovascular, and other diseases in observational studies; therefore, bilirubin has potential as a therapeutic agent. However, observational studies could be confounded by many factors. We used a genetic (n = 61,281) and clinical (n = 234,670) approach to define the association between bilirubin and 19 conditions with a putative protective signal in observational studies. We also tested if individuals with genetically higher bilirubin levels underwent more diagnostic tests. We used a common variant in UGT1A1 (rs6742078) associated with an 26% increase in bilirubin levels in the genetic studies. Carriers of the variant had higher bilirubin levels (P = 2.2 × 10-16 ) but there was no significant association with any of the 19 conditions. In a phenome-wide association study (pheWAS) to seek undiscovered genetic associations, the only significant finding was increased risk of "jaundice-not of newborn." Carriers of the variant allele were more likely to undergo an abdominal ultrasound (odds ratio = 1.04, [1.00-1.08], P = 0.03). In contrast, clinically measured bilirubin levels were significantly associated with 15 of the 19 conditions (P < 0.003) and with 431 clinical diagnoses in the pheWAS (P < 1 × 10-5 adjusted for sex, age, and follow-up). With additional adjustment for smoking and body mass index, 7 of 19 conditions and 260 pheWAS diagnoses remained significantly associated with bilirubin levels. In conclusion, bilirubin does not protect against inflammatory or other diseases using a genetic approach; the many putative beneficial associations reported clinically are likely due to confounding.

Using genetics to detangle the relationships between red cell distribution width and cardiovascular diseases: a unique role for body mass index.

OBJECTIVE: Red cell distribution width (RDW) is an enigmatic biomarker associated with the presence and severity of multiple cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). It is unclear whether elevated RDW contributes to, results from, or is pleiotropically related to CVDs. We used contemporary genetic techniques to probe for evidence of aetiological associations between RDW, CVDs, and CVD risk factors. METHODS: Using an electronic health record (EHR)-based cohort, we built and deployed a genetic risk score (GRS) for RDW to test for shared genetic architecture between RDW and the cardiovascular phenome. We also created GRSs for common CVDs (coronary artery disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, peripheral arterial disease, venous thromboembolism) and CVD risk factors (body mass index (BMI), low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, serum triglycerides, estimated glomerular filtration rate, diabetes mellitus) to test each for association with RDW. Significant GRS associations were further interrogated by two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR). In a separate EHR-based cohort, RDW values from 1-year pre-gastric bypass surgery and 1-2 years post-gastric bypass surgery were compared. RESULTS: In a cohort of 17 937 subjects, there were no significant associations between the RDW GRS and CVDs. Of the CVDs and CVD risk factors, only genetically predicted BMI was associated with RDW. In subsequent analyses, BMI was associated with RDW by multiple MR methods. In subjects undergoing bariatric surgery, RDW decreased postsurgery and followed a linear relationship with BMI change. CONCLUSIONS: RDW is unlikely to be aetiologically upstream or downstream of CVDs or CVD risk factors except for BMI. Genetic and clinical association analyses support an aetiological relationship between BMI and RDW.

Polygenic Risk Score to Identify Subclinical Coronary Heart Disease Risk in Young Adults.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) may enhance risk stratification for coronary heart disease among young adults. Whether a coronary heart disease PRS improves prediction beyond modifiable risk factors in this population is not known. METHODS: Genotyped adults aged 18 to 35 years were selected from the CARDIA study (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults; n=1132) and FOS (Framingham Offspring Study; n=663). Systolic blood pressure, total and HDL (high-density lipoprotein) cholesterol, triglycerides, smoking, and waist circumference or body mass index were measured at the visit 1 exam of each study, and coronary artery calcium, a measure of coronary atherosclerosis, was assessed at year 15 (CARDIA) or year 30 (FOS). A previously validated PRS for coronary heart disease was computed for each subject. The C statistic and integrated discrimination improvement were used to compare improvements in prediction of elevated coronary artery calcium between models containing the PRS, risk factors, or both. RESULTS: There were 62 (5%) and 93 (14%) participants with a coronary artery calcium score >20 (CARDIA) and >300 (FOS), respectively. At these thresholds, the C statistic changes of adding the PRS to a risk factor-based model were 0.015 (0.004-0.028) and 0.020 (0.001-0.039) in CARDIA and FOS, respectively. When adding risk factors to a PRS-based model, the respective changes were 0.070 (0.033-0.109) and 0.051 (0.017-0.079). The integrated discrimination improvement, when adding the PRS to a risk factor model, was 0.027 (-0.006 to 0.054) in CARDIA and 0.039 (0.0005-0.072) in FOS. CONCLUSIONS: Among young adults, a PRS improved model discrimination for coronary atherosclerosis, but improvements were smaller than those associated with modifiable risk factors.

Association Between a Common, Benign Genotype and Unnecessary Bone Marrow Biopsies Among African American Patients.

Importance: Up to two-thirds of African American individuals carry the benign rs2814778-CC genotype that lowers total white blood cell (WBC) count. Objective: To examine whether the rs2814778-CC genotype is associated with an increased likelihood of receiving a bone marrow biopsy (BMB) for an isolated low WBC count. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective genetic association study assessed African American patients younger than 90 years who underwent a BMB at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Mount Sinai Health System, or Children's Hospital of Philadelphia from January 1, 1998, to December 31, 2020. Exposure: The rs2814778-CC genotype. Main Outcomes and Measures: The proportion of individuals with the CC genotype who underwent BMB for an isolated low WBC count and had a normal biopsy result compared with the proportion of individuals with the CC genotype who underwent BMB for other indications and had a normal biopsy result. Results: Among 399 individuals who underwent a BMB (mean [SD] age, 41.8 [22.5] years, 234 [59%] female), 277 (69%) had the CC genotype. A total of 35 patients (9%) had clinical histories of isolated low WBC counts, and 364 (91%) had other histories. Of those with a clinical history of isolated low WBC count, 34 of 35 (97%) had the CC genotype vs 243 of 364 (67%) of those without a low WBC count history. Among those with the CC genotype, 33 of 34 (97%) had normal results for biopsies performed for isolated low WBC counts compared with 134 of 243 individuals (55%) with biopsies performed for other histories (P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this genetic association study, among patients of African American race who had a BMB with a clinical history of isolated low WBC counts, the rs2814778-CC genotype was highly prevalent, and 97% of these BMBs identified no hematologic abnormality. Accounting for the rs2814778-CC genotype in clinical decision-making could avoid unnecessary BMB procedures.

Pleiotropy of systemic lupus erythematosus risk alleles and cardiometabolic disorders: A phenome-wide association study and inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that genetic predisposition to systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) increases the risk of cardiometabolic disorders. METHODS: Using 41 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with SLE, we calculated a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) for SLE. In a large biobank we tested the association between this wGRS and 9 cardiometabolic phenotypes previously associated with SLE: atrial fibrillation, ischemic stroke, coronary artery disease, type 1 and type 2 diabetes, obesity, chronic kidney disease, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia. Additionally, we performed a phenome-wide association analysis (pheWAS) to discover novel clinical associations with a genetic predisposition to SLE. Findings were replicated in the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) Network. To further define the association between SLE-related risk alleles and the selected cardiometabolic phenotypes, we performed an inverse variance weighted regression (IVWR) meta-analysis. RESULTS: The wGRS for SLE was calculated in 74,759 individuals of European ancestry. Among the pre-selected phenotypes, the wGRS was significantly associated with type 1 diabetes (OR [95%CI] =1.11 [1.06, 1.17], P-value = 1.05x10-5). In the PheWAS, the wGRS was associated with several autoimmune phenotypes, kidney disorders, and skin neoplasm; but only the associations with autoimmune phenotypes were replicated. In the IVWR meta-analysis, SLE-related risk alleles were nominally associated with type 1 diabetes (P = 0.048) but the associations were heterogeneous and did not meet the adjusted significance threshold. CONCLUSION: A weighted GRS for SLE was associated with an increased risk of several autoimmune-related phenotypes including type I diabetes but not with cardiometabolic disorders.

Predictive Accuracy of a Polygenic Risk Score for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) remains a significant risk factor for increased morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery. The ability to accurately identify patients at risk through clinical risk factors is limited. There is growing evidence that polygenic risk contributes significantly to PoAF and incorporating measures of genetic risk could enhance prediction. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of 1047 patients of White European ancestry who underwent either coronary artery bypass grafting or valve surgery at a tertiary academic center and were free from a history or persistent preoperative atrial fibrillation. The primary outcome was defined as PoAF based on postoperative ECG reports, medical record documentation, and changes in medication. The exposure was a polygenic risk score (PRS) comprising 2746 single-nucleotide polymorphisms previously associated with atrial fibrillation risk. The prediction of PoAF risk was assessed using measures of model discrimination, calibration, and net reclassification improvement. RESULTS: A total of 259 patients (24.7%) developed PoAF. The PRS was significantly associated with a higher risk for PoAF (odds ratio, 1.63 per SD increase in PRS [95% CI, 1.41-1.90]). Addition of PRS to patient- and procedure-related predictors of PoAF significantly increased the C statistic from 0.742 to 0.782 (change in C statistic, 0.040 [95% CI, 0.021-0.060]) while maintaining good calibration. The addition of the PRS to patient- and procedure-related predictors of PoAF improved model fit (likelihood ratio test, P=2.8×10-15) and significantly improved measures of reclassification (net reclassification improvement, 0.158 [95% CI, 0.066-0.274]). CONCLUSIONS: The PRS for PoAF was associated with improved discrimination, calibration, and risk reclassification compared with conventional clinical predictors suggesting that a PoAF PRS may enhance risk prediction of PoAF in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting or valve surgery.

BMI Is Causally Associated With Pulmonary Artery Pressure But Not Hemodynamic Evidence of Pulmonary Vascular Remodeling.

BACKGROUND: There is an unclear relationship of obesity to the pathogenesis and severity of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and pulmonary venous hypertension (PVH). RESEARCH QUESTION: Is BMI casually associated with pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) and/or markers of pulmonary vascular remodeling? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The study design was a two-sample inverse-variance weighted Mendelian randomization. We constructed two BMI genetic risk scores from genome-wide association study summary data and deployed them in nonoverlapping cohorts of subjects referred for right heart catheterization (RHC) or echocardiography. A BMI highly polygenic risk score (hpGRS) optimally powered to detect shared genetic architecture of obesity with other traits was tested for association with RHC parameters including markers of pulmonary vascular remodeling. A BMI strict genetic risk score (sGRS) composed of high-confidence genetic variants was used for Mendelian randomization analyses to assess if higher BMI causes higher PAP. RESULTS: Among all subjects, both directly measured BMI and hpGRS were positively associated with pulmonary arterial pressures but not markers of pulmonary vascular remodeling. Categorical analyses revealed BMI and hpGRS were associated with PVH but not PAH. Mendelian randomization of the sGRS supported that higher BMI is causal of higher systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP). Sensitivity analyses showed sPAP-BMI sGRS relationship was preserved when either individuals with PAH or PVH were excluded. In the echocardiographic cohort, BMI and hpGRS were positively associated with estimated PAP and markers of left heart remodeling. INTERPRETATION: BMI is a modifier of pulmonary hypertension severity in both PAH and PVH but is only involved in the pathogenesis of PVH.

Pleiotropy in the Genetic Predisposition to Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Phenome-Wide Association Study and Inverse Variance-Weighted Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to investigate the hypothesis that a genetic predisposition toward rheumatoid arthritis (RA) increases the risk of 10 cardiometabolic and autoimmune disorders previously associated with RA in epidemiologic studies, and to define new genetic pleiotropy present in RA. METHODS: Two approaches were used to test our hypothesis. First, we constructed a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) and then examined its association with 10 prespecified disorders. Additionally, a phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) was carried out to identify potential new associations. Second, inverse variance-weighted regression (IVWR) meta-analysis was used to characterize the association between genetic susceptibility to RA and the prespecified disorders, with the results expressed as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: The wGRS for RA was significantly associated with type 1 diabetes mellitus (DM) (OR 1.10 [95% CI 1.04-1.16]; P = 9.82 × 10-4 ) and multiple sclerosis (OR 0.82 [95% CI 0.77-0.88]; P = 1.73 × 10-8 ), but not with other cardiometabolic phenotypes. In the PheWAS, wGRS was also associated with an increased risk of several autoimmune phenotypes including RA, thyroiditis, and systemic sclerosis, and with a decreased risk of demyelinating disorders. In the IVWR meta-analyses, RA was significantly associated with an increased risk of type 1 DM (P = 1.15 × 10-14 ), with evidence of horizontal pleiotropy (Mendelian Randomization-Egger intercept estimate P = 0.001) likely driven by rs2476601, a PTPN22 variant. The association between type 1 DM and RA remained significant (P = 9.53 × 10-9 ) after excluding rs2476601, with no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy (intercept estimate P = 0.939). RA was also significantly associated with type 2 DM and C-reactive protein levels. These associations were driven by variation in the major histocompatibility complex region. CONCLUSION: This study presents evidence of pleiotropy between the genetic predisposition to RA and associated phenotypes found in other autoimmune and cardiometabolic disorders, including type 1 DM.

Probing the Virtual Proteome to Identify Novel Disease Biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Proteomic approaches allow measurement of thousands of proteins in a single specimen, which can accelerate biomarker discovery. However, applying these technologies to massive biobanks is not currently feasible because of the practical barriers and costs of implementing such assays at scale. To overcome these challenges, we used a "virtual proteomic" approach, linking genetically predicted protein levels to clinical diagnoses in >40 000 individuals. METHODS: We used genome-wide association data from the Framingham Heart Study (n=759) to construct genetic predictors for 1129 plasma protein levels. We validated the genetic predictors for 268 proteins and used them to compute predicted protein levels in 41 288 genotyped individuals in the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) cohort. We tested associations for each predicted protein with 1128 clinical phenotypes. Lead associations were validated with directly measured protein levels and either low-density lipoprotein cholesterol or subclinical atherosclerosis in the MDCS (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study; n=651). RESULTS: In the virtual proteomic analysis in eMERGE, 55 proteins were associated with 89 distinct diagnoses at a false discovery rate q<0.1. Among these, 13 associations involved lipid (n=7) or atherosclerosis (n=6) phenotypes. We tested each association for validation in MDCS using directly measured protein levels. At Bonferroni-adjusted significance thresholds, levels of apolipoprotein E isoforms were associated with hyperlipidemia, and circulating C-type lectin domain family 1 member B and platelet-derived growth factor receptor-ß predicted subclinical atherosclerosis. Odds ratios for carotid atherosclerosis were 1.31 (95% CI, 1.08-1.58; P=0.006) per 1-SD increment in C-type lectin domain family 1 member B and 0.79 (0.66-0.94; P=0.008) per 1-SD increment in platelet-derived growth factor receptor-ß. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate a biomarker discovery paradigm to identify candidate biomarkers of cardiovascular and other diseases.